April 16, 2007
To whom it may concern:
The estimated
amount of runs this year is 28. The following is the basis for the
estimation.
Stored Winter
Water
Meredith
Approximately 3,700 a.f. @ 200 cfs (400 a.f. per day) 9.5 days
Blue Lake
Approximately 46,000 a.f. @ 200 cfs (400 a.f. per day) 40 days
@ 300 cfs (600 a.f. per day) 50 days
Project Water
Approximately 8,000 a.f. @ 200 cfs (400 a.f. per day) 20
days
Total 119.5 days
119.5 days @
average 9 day intervals
= 13.2 runs
Currently on run
5
= 5 runs
Average
Rainfall
= 5 runs
Snow
melt
= 5 runs
Total 28.2 runs
Should Amity not
put a call thru upriver until May1, 2007, it is possible that we could gain
one and possibly two more runs. Right now this looks very possible. Amity
calling through will limit Fort Lyon to our first decree of 165 cfs., as the
river is today. There are other upriver exchanges that could also affect our
first decree. Either way, at “165”, Winter Stored Water would be used at
that point. Our fifty year average is 36 runs so we are looking at 80% of
average / normal.
Sincerely,
Manny
Torrez
